By Scott Poland, Chestnut Park Real Estate
Hey everyone, it’s Scott Poland here! I wanted to take a moment to expand on my recent video and dig a little deeper into what’s really happening in the Guelph real estate market.
A More Balanced Market
October 2025 gave us one of the most balanced markets we’ve seen in a while. Some segments still lean slightly toward buyers, but overall, we’re seeing a healthier, steadier environment for both sides. More homes are hitting the market, giving buyers more choice and time to make confident decisions — without the same pressure we saw in previous years.
In October, there were 346 new listings, up 10.5% from October 2024 (which saw 313). That extra inventory means less competition and fewer bidding wars, but also a reminder to sellers that pricing strategically is more important than ever.
Prices Holding Steady
The average sale price in Guelph this October was $790,684, down slightly (2.8%) from last year’s $813,856. While we’ve seen small shifts depending on the property type and neighbourhood, the market overall has stayed relatively stable.
Here’s a quick breakdown:
Detached homes: 99 sales at an average of $887,220
Semi-detached homes: 7 sales averaging $624,500
Condos/Apartments: 19 sales averaging $512,842
Homes are taking a bit longer to sell, averaging 36 days on market (compared to 28 days last year), which means buyers can breathe a little easier — and even include conditions in their offers again.
Interest Rates and Buyer Confidence
Interest rates have been the big story this fall. The Bank of Canada cut its rate to 2.25% on October 29th, marking several reductions throughout the year and signaling that’s likely it for 2025. That’s helping fixed mortgage rates become more appealing and creating more confidence for buyers who were on the sidelines.
Who Wins in Today’s Market?
If you’re a first-time buyer or an up-sizer, this is a market worth paying attention to. The price gap between larger detached homes and townhomes or semis has narrowed, making that next move more attainable.
For sellers, success now comes down to strategy — thoughtful pricing, great presentation, and positioning your home to stand out in a more balanced market.
Final Thoughts
Overall, Guelph’s real estate market is showing strong fundamentals with a pace that feels healthy and sustainable. There’s more inventory, fair pricing, and interest rates we haven’t seen this low in a couple of years.
If you or someone you know wants to understand how these trends apply to your specific situation — whether that’s buying, selling, or just keeping an eye on your neighborhood — let’s chat. I’m always happy to provide a personalized update or strategy session.
Thinking about your next move? Let’s make a plan before the spring rush begins.